مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Necaxa v Toluca
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Necaxa (المضيف)
التنبؤ 18.30%5.46السعر العادل
EV +7.06%
الأفضلية +1.21%
Kelly +1.46%
النمو +0.103%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.85
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.53%18.66%18.16%23.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.884.944.905.8525.77%20.24%20.41%17.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Toluca (الضيف)
التنبؤ 57.85%1.73السعر العادل
EV +5.87%
الأفضلية +3.21%
Kelly +7.08%
النمو +0.416%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.65%57.38%57.97%59.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.601.601.8367.57%62.33%62.50%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 23.84%4.19السعر العادل
EV -2.24%
الأفضلية -0.546%
Kelly -0.722%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.04%23.96%23.87%25.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.853.904.1030.30%25.94%25.64%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -28.99%E -7.47%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.65%EV +5.87%E +3.21%K +7.08%G +0.416% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.46%EV -13.21%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -19.48%E -4.43%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.24%E -0.546%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.24%E -0.546%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Bet Victor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 00:54 |
| Coolbet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV -3.01%E -0.567%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.86%EV -3.96%E -2.39%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| GTbets | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.56%EV -6.85%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.91%EV -3.96%E -2.39%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 00:54 |
| Pinnacle | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.27%EV +2.12%E +0.380%K +0.462%G +0.010% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.76%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.97%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.31%EV +1.57%E +0.283%K +0.345%G +0.005% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.92%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -3.67%E -0.908%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV +7.06%E +1.21%K +1.46%G +0.103% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -2.95%E -0.725%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV +7.06%E +1.21%K +1.46%G +0.103% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -2.95%E -0.725%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 00:40 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Fliff | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -3.01%E -0.567%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV +0.654%E +0.119%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV +0.654%E +0.119%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 00:52 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Sky Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 00:40 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -10.90%E -7.08%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.86%EV -14.90%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.31%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.83%EV -12.25%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-22 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -21.31%E -6.46%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -14.38%E -9.71%K -29.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.7% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |