Die Schule der Quoten

Necaxa v Toluca

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-22 01:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Necaxa (Heim)

Prognose 18.30%5.46faire Quote
EV +7.06%
Vorteil +1.21%
Kelly +1.46%
Wachstum +0.103%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.53%18.66%18.16%23.89%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.884.944.905.8525.77%20.24%20.41%17.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Toluca (Auswärts)

Prognose 57.85%1.73faire Quote
EV +5.87%
Vorteil +3.21%
Kelly +7.08%
Wachstum +0.416%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.65%57.38%57.97%59.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.481.601.601.8367.57%62.33%62.50%54.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.84%4.19faire Quote
EV -2.24%
Vorteil -0.546%
Kelly -0.722%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.04%23.96%23.87%25.71%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.853.904.1030.30%25.94%25.64%24.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Marathon Bet3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -28.99%E -7.47%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.65%EV +5.87%E +3.21%K +7.08%G +0.416%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.46%EV -13.21%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -19.48%E -4.43%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:20
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.24%E -0.546%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 00:55
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.24%E -0.546%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 00:55
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 00:54
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV -3.01%E -0.567%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.86%EV -3.96%E -2.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 17:15
GTbets5.09I 19.65%NM 18.56%EV -6.85%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.91%EV -3.96%E -2.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 00:54
Pinnacle5.58I 17.92%NM 17.27%EV +2.12%E +0.380%K +0.462%G +0.010%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.76%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.97%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:55
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:55
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:55
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:55
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:55
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:55
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.31%EV +1.57%E +0.283%K +0.345%G +0.005%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.92%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -3.67%E -0.908%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:55
LowVig.ag5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV +7.06%E +1.21%K +1.46%G +0.103%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -2.95%E -0.725%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 00:45
BetOnline.ag5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV +7.06%E +1.21%K +1.46%G +0.103%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -2.95%E -0.725%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 00:45
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 00:45
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 00:45
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 00:55
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:40
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:15
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 21:10
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 00:55
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:55
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:55
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:55
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -3.01%E -0.567%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 21:10
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:55
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:55
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 00:55
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:45
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 00:55
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV +0.654%E +0.119%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:55
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV +0.654%E +0.119%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:52
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 22:05
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 21:10
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 21:05
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 21:10
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 21:10
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 21:10
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 00:40
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 00:55
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 00:55
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -10.90%E -7.08%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-22 00:45
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 18.86%EV -14.90%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.31%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.83%EV -12.25%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-22 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -21.31%E -6.46%K -9.27%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-21 21:10
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -14.38%E -9.71%K -29.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-22 00:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-02-22 00:55
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-02-22 00:55
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-02-22 00:55