La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Necaxa v Toluca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Necaxa (Casa)
Previsione 18.30%5.46quota equa
EV +7.06%
Vantaggio +1.21%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescita +0.103%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.53%18.66%18.16%23.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.884.944.905.8525.77%20.24%20.41%17.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Toluca (Trasferta)
Previsione 57.85%1.73quota equa
EV +5.87%
Vantaggio +3.21%
Kelly +7.08%
Crescita +0.416%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.65%57.38%57.97%59.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.601.601.8367.57%62.33%62.50%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.84%4.19quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -0.546%
Kelly -0.722%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.04%23.96%23.87%25.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.853.904.1030.30%25.94%25.64%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -28.99%E -7.47%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.65%EV +5.87%E +3.21%K +7.08%G +0.416% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.46%EV -13.21%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -19.48%E -4.43%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.24%E -0.546%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.24%E -0.546%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Bet Victor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 00:54 |
| Coolbet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV -3.01%E -0.567%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.86%EV -3.96%E -2.39%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| GTbets | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.56%EV -6.85%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.91%EV -3.96%E -2.39%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 00:54 |
| Pinnacle | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.27%EV +2.12%E +0.380%K +0.462%G +0.010% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.76%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.97%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.31%EV +1.57%E +0.283%K +0.345%G +0.005% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.92%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -3.67%E -0.908%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV +7.06%E +1.21%K +1.46%G +0.103% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -2.95%E -0.725%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV +7.06%E +1.21%K +1.46%G +0.103% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -2.95%E -0.725%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 00:40 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Fliff | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -3.01%E -0.567%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV +0.654%E +0.119%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Bovada | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV +0.654%E +0.119%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 00:52 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Sky Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 00:40 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -10.90%E -7.08%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.86%EV -14.90%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.31%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.83%EV -12.25%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-22 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -21.31%E -6.46%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -14.38%E -9.71%K -29.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.7% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |