Language:English
Necaxa v Mazatlán FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Necaxa (Local)
Prediction 60.16%1.66fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -6.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.39%60.05%60.23%62.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.541.551.6069.93%65.01%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mazatlán FC (Visit)
Prediction 17.77%5.63fair odd
EV +4.87%
Edge +0.825%
Kelly +0.993%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 5.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.13%17.82%17.78%20.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.155.255.9023.26%19.42%19.05%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.06%4.53fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.372%
Kelly +0.475%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.93%22.13%22.00%24.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.084.004.6126.32%24.50%25.00%21.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Necaxa (Local): 60.16%; Mazatlán FC (Visit): 17.77%; Draw: 22.06%. For Mazatlán FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.47%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV +4.87%E +0.825%K +0.993%G +0.048% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +0.424%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.712%E -0.158%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +0.424%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.712%E -0.158%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.84%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23%EV -0.465%E -0.083%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.475%G +0.008% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.47%EV -10.96%E -7.41%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -0.465%E -0.083%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.92%E -0.663%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.88%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.36%EV -1.89%E -0.342%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -7.11%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -4.02%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.24%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.92%EV -5.97%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -2.92%E -0.663%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -8.55%E -5.63%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.60%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -9.35%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -10.64%E -2.63%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -8.55%E -5.63%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -9.35%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -13.37%E -9.28%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -10.36%E -6.95%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -10.36%E -6.95%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.69%EV -11.56%E -7.87%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.09%EV -13.80%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 02:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.73%EV -13.97%E -9.77%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -10.96%E -7.41%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -15.05%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -20.02%E -4.45%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -23.57%E -5.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.96% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 16.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.03% | -0.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.06% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.49% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |