La scuola delle quote

Necaxa v Mazatlán FC

Inizio: 2026-04-04 03:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Necaxa (Casa)

Previsione 60.16%1.66quota equa
EV -3.74%
Vantaggio -2.34%
Kelly -6.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.39%60.05%60.23%62.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.541.551.6069.93%65.01%64.52%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mazatlán FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.77%5.63quota equa
EV +4.87%
Vantaggio +0.825%
Kelly +0.993%
Crescita +0.048%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.13%17.82%17.78%20.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.305.155.255.9023.26%19.42%19.05%16.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.06%4.53quota equa
EV +1.72%
Vantaggio +0.372%
Kelly +0.475%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.93%22.13%22.00%24.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.084.004.6126.32%24.50%25.00%21.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.47%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV +4.87%E +0.825%K +0.993%G +0.048%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 02:59
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +0.424%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.712%E -0.158%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 03:00
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +0.424%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.712%E -0.158%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 03:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.84%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23%EV -0.465%E -0.083%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.475%G +0.008%3.7%2026-04-04 02:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.47%EV -10.96%E -7.41%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -0.465%E -0.083%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.92%E -0.663%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:59
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.88%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.36%EV -1.89%E -0.342%K -0.417%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -7.11%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 02:59
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 03:00
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 03:00
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 03:00
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -4.02%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 02:59
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:00
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 03:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.24%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.92%EV -5.97%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 02:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 03:00
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -2.92%E -0.663%K -0.858%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 02:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -8.55%E -5.63%K -16.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 03:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:55
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:59
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 03:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 03:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.60%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -9.35%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -10.64%E -2.63%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -8.55%E -5.63%K -16.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -9.35%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 03:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 03:00
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 02:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 02:59
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -13.37%E -9.28%K -30.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 03:00
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -10.36%E -6.95%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 03:00
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -10.36%E -6.95%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 03:00
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.69%EV -11.56%E -7.87%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.09%EV -13.80%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 02:58
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 03:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 02:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 02:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.73%EV -13.97%E -9.77%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-04 03:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 02:59
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -10.96%E -7.41%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -15.05%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 02:59
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 03:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -20.02%E -4.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -23.57%E -5.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.96%6.25I 16.00%NM 16.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.03%-0.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.06%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.49%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%2.8%2026-04-04 03:00