L’École des cotes

Necaxa v Mazatlán FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 03:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Necaxa (Local)

Prévision 60.16%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -6.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.39%60.05%60.23%62.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.541.551.6069.93%65.01%64.52%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mazatlán FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.77%5.63cote équitable
EV +4.87%
Avantage +0.825%
Kelly +0.993%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.13%17.82%17.78%20.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.305.155.255.9023.26%19.42%19.05%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.06%4.53cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.372%
Kelly +0.475%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.93%22.13%22.00%24.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.084.004.6126.32%24.50%25.00%21.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.47%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV +4.87%E +0.825%K +0.993%G +0.048%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 02:59
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +0.424%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.712%E -0.158%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 03:00
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +0.424%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.712%E -0.158%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 03:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.84%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23%EV -0.465%E -0.083%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.475%G +0.008%3.7%2026-04-04 02:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.47%EV -10.96%E -7.41%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -0.465%E -0.083%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.92%E -0.663%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:59
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.88%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.36%EV -1.89%E -0.342%K -0.417%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -7.11%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 02:59
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 03:00
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 03:00
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 03:00
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -4.02%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 02:59
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:00
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 03:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.24%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.92%EV -5.97%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 02:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 03:00
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -2.92%E -0.663%K -0.858%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 02:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -8.55%E -5.63%K -16.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 03:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:55
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:59
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 03:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 03:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.60%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -9.35%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -10.64%E -2.63%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -8.55%E -5.63%K -16.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -9.35%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 03:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 03:00
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 02:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 02:59
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -13.37%E -9.28%K -30.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 03:00
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -10.36%E -6.95%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 03:00
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -10.36%E -6.95%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 03:00
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.69%EV -11.56%E -7.87%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.09%EV -13.80%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 02:58
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 03:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 02:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 02:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.73%EV -13.97%E -9.77%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-04 03:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 02:59
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -10.96%E -7.41%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -15.05%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 02:59
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 03:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -20.02%E -4.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -23.57%E -5.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.96%6.25I 16.00%NM 16.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.03%-0.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.06%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.49%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%2.8%2026-04-04 03:00