مدرسة الاحتمالات

Necaxa v Mazatlán FC

البداية: 2026-04-04 03:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Necaxa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.16%1.66السعر العادل
EV -3.74%
الأفضلية -2.34%
Kelly -6.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.39%60.05%60.23%62.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.541.551.6069.93%65.01%64.52%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mazatlán FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.77%5.63السعر العادل
EV +4.87%
الأفضلية +0.825%
Kelly +0.993%
النمو +0.048%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.13%17.82%17.78%20.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.305.155.255.9023.26%19.42%19.05%16.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.06%4.53السعر العادل
EV +1.72%
الأفضلية +0.372%
Kelly +0.475%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.93%22.13%22.00%24.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.084.004.6126.32%24.50%25.00%21.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.47%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV +4.87%E +0.825%K +0.993%G +0.048%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 02:59
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +0.424%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.712%E -0.158%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 03:00
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.08%EV +0.424%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -0.712%E -0.158%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 03:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.84%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23%EV -0.465%E -0.083%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.72%E +0.372%K +0.475%G +0.008%3.7%2026-04-04 02:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.47%EV -10.96%E -7.41%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -0.465%E -0.083%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.92%E -0.663%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:59
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.88%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.36%EV -1.89%E -0.342%K -0.417%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -7.11%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 02:59
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 03:00
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 03:00
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 03:00
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -4.02%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 02:59
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:00
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 03:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 03:00
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.24%EV -3.74%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.92%EV -5.97%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -8.43%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 02:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 03:00
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -2.92%E -0.663%K -0.858%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.23%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 02:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -8.55%E -5.63%K -16.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -5.12%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 03:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:55
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:59
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 03:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 03:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.35%E -4.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.60%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -9.35%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -10.64%E -2.63%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -8.55%E -5.63%K -16.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -9.35%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 03:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.55%E -3.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 03:00
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 02:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.54%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 02:59
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -13.37%E -9.28%K -30.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 03:00
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -10.36%E -6.95%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 03:00
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -10.36%E -6.95%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 03:00
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.69%EV -11.56%E -7.87%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.09%EV -13.80%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 02:58
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 03:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 02:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 02:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.73%EV -13.97%E -9.77%K -32.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.48%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-04 03:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.76%E -6.50%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.33%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 02:59
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -10.96%E -7.41%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -15.05%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 02:59
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.95%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 03:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -20.02%E -4.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -12.85%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -23.57%E -5.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -16.16%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 03:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.96%6.25I 16.00%NM 16.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.03%-0.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 03:00
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.06%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.49%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%2.8%2026-04-04 03:00