Necaxa v León

2026-08-18 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

42%

31%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Necaxa (Local)

Prediction 42.31%2.36fair odd

EV -2.69%

Edge -1.17%

Kelly -2.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.26%42.27%42.31%43.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.962.132.102.3051.02%46.86%47.62%43.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

León (Visit)

Prediction 31.10%3.22fair odd

EV -3.91%

Edge -1.27%

Kelly -1.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.23%31.14%31.10%32.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.702.932.953.0937.04%34.14%33.90%32.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.59%3.76fair odd

EV -4.27%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -1.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.79%26.59%26.59%27.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.223.403.403.6031.06%29.38%29.41%27.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -2.69%E -1.17%K -2.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-26 11:35
SportsBet	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-26 11:30
FanDuel	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.92%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-26 11:35
1xBet	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.16%EV -7.34%E -3.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%	3.09I 32.36%NM 30.59%EV -3.91%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-26 11:30
Marathon Bet	2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -8.61%E -3.99%K -7.42%G +0.000%	3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -5.46%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.46%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-26 12:54
Paddy Power	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-26 11:34
888sport	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-07-26 11:31
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-07-26 11:30
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-07-26 11:31
William Hill	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-07-26 11:35
Sky Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -11.15%E -5.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -16.04%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-07-26 11:35
LeoVegas	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -11.99%E -5.77%K -11.11%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-26 11:34
Betclic (FR)	1.96I 51.02%NM 43.99%EV -17.07%E -8.71%K -17.78%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.23%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 26.78%EV -14.37%E -4.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-07-26 11:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.