Language:English
Necaxa v León
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Necaxa (Local)
Prediction 34.16%2.93fair odd
EV +6.59%
Edge +2.11%
Kelly +3.11%
Growth +0.205%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.73%34.28%34.17%36.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.662.633.1242.02%37.63%38.02%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
León (Visit)
Prediction 38.12%2.62fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.35%38.01%38.17%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.432.5743.48%41.09%41.15%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.376%
Kelly -0.523%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.98%27.70%27.67%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.5632.26%30.22%30.30%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Necaxa (Local): 34.16%; León (Visit): 38.12%; Draw: 27.71%. For Necaxa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV +6.59%E +2.11%K +3.11%G +0.205% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.95%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.32%EV -9.38%E -2.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%EV -2.64%E -0.925%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.55%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.45%E -0.696%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 00:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.20%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.20%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 00:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.60%EV -2.02%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.376%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.60%EV -2.02%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.376%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.99%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.99%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.61%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.39%EV -11.55%E -4.98%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.01%EV -11.87%E -3.73%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -10.15%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-18 00:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -15.28%E -6.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -18.69%E -7.85%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |