Lingua:Italiano
Necaxa v León
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Necaxa (Casa)
Previsione 34.16%2.93quota equa
EV +6.59%
Vantaggio +2.11%
Kelly +3.11%
Crescita +0.205%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.12
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.73%34.28%34.17%36.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.662.633.1242.02%37.63%38.02%32.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
León (Trasferta)
Previsione 38.12%2.62quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -0.787%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.35%38.01%38.17%39.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.432.432.5743.48%41.09%41.15%38.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 27.71%3.61quota equa
EV -1.34%
Vantaggio -0.376%
Kelly -0.523%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.56
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.98%27.70%27.67%29.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.313.303.5632.26%30.22%30.30%28.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Necaxa (Casa): 34.16%; León (Trasferta): 38.12%; Pareggio: 27.71%. Per Necaxa (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.93. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.12, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.59%.
Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV +6.59%E +2.11%K +3.11%G +0.205% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.95%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.32%EV -9.38%E -2.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%EV -2.64%E -0.925%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.55%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.45%E -0.696%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 00:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.20%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.20%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 00:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.60%EV -2.02%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.376%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.60%EV -2.02%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.376%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.99%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.99%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.61%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.39%EV -11.55%E -4.98%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.01%EV -11.87%E -3.73%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -10.15%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-18 00:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -15.28%E -6.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -18.69%E -7.85%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |