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Necaxa v León
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Necaxa (Хозяева)
Прогноз 34.16%2.93справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.59%
Преимущество +2.11%
Kelly +3.11%
Рост +0.205%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.12
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.73%34.28%34.17%36.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.382.662.633.1242.02%37.63%38.02%32.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
León (Гости)
Прогноз 38.12%2.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.02%
Преимущество -0.787%
Kelly -1.29%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.57
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.35%38.01%38.17%39.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.432.432.5743.48%41.09%41.15%38.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.71%3.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.34%
Преимущество -0.376%
Kelly -0.523%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.56
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.98%27.70%27.67%29.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.313.303.5632.26%30.22%30.30%28.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Necaxa (Хозяева): 34.16%; León (Гости): 38.12%; Ничья: 27.71%. Для исхода «Necaxa (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.93. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.12, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.59%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV +6.59%E +2.11%K +3.11%G +0.205% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.95%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.32%EV -9.38%E -2.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%EV -2.64%E -0.925%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.55%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.45%E -0.696%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 00:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.20%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.20%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 00:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.60%EV -2.02%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.376%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.60%EV -2.02%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.376%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.99%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.99%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.61%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.39%EV -11.55%E -4.98%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.01%EV -11.87%E -3.73%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -10.15%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-18 00:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -15.28%E -6.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -18.69%E -7.85%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |