Langue:Français
Necaxa v León
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Necaxa (Local)
Prévision 34.16%2.93cote équitable
EV +6.59%
Avantage +2.11%
Kelly +3.11%
Croissance +0.205%
avec la cote maximale 3.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.73%34.28%34.17%36.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.662.633.1242.02%37.63%38.02%32.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
León (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.12%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.787%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.35%38.01%38.17%39.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.432.432.5743.48%41.09%41.15%38.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.71%3.61cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.376%
Kelly -0.523%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.98%27.70%27.67%29.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.303.5632.26%30.22%30.30%28.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Necaxa (Local) : 34.16% ; León (Visiteur) : 38.12% ; Match nul : 27.71%. Pour Necaxa (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.93. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.12, soit une espérance positive de +6.59%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.73%EV +6.59%E +2.11%K +3.11%G +0.205% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.95%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.32%EV -9.38%E -2.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -3.83%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%EV -2.64%E -0.925%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.55%EV -4.31%E -1.72%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.45%E -0.696%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.39%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.34%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 00:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.20%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.20%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 00:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.60%EV -2.02%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.376%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -6.39%E -2.33%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.60%EV -2.02%E -0.787%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -1.34%E -0.376%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.99%EV -6.98%E -2.86%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.99%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.61%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.39%EV -11.55%E -4.98%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.01%EV -11.87%E -3.73%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -10.15%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-18 00:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.77%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 00:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.27%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -15.28%E -6.16%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -16.30%E -6.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -18.69%E -7.85%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -14.09%E -4.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 00:55 |