Language:English
Monterrey v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monterrey (Local)
Prediction 61.34%1.63fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.24%61.52%61.37%65.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.471.481.5773.53%67.95%67.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 17.22%5.81fair odd
EV +10.23%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.194%
assuming max odds 6.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.36%17.09%17.13%18.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.585.506.4021.05%17.92%18.18%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd
EV -0.300%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.082%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.19%21.39%21.50%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.334.354.6527.78%23.09%22.99%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 61.34%; Puebla (Visit): 17.22%; Draw: 21.44%. For Puebla (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +10.23%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.194% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -12.90%E -9.09%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -14.13%E -10.09%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -14.13%E -10.09%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -15.36%E -11.13%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.96%EV -16.58%E -12.19%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.669%G +0.022% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.31%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.96%EV -16.58%E -12.19%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.669%G +0.022% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.31%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.83%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.32%EV +1.45%E +0.246%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.85%EV -1.16%E -0.251%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.50%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.40%EV +1.10%E +0.188%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.11%EV -2.23%E -0.489%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +0.760%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.300%E -0.065%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +0.760%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.300%E -0.065%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -9.22%E -6.23%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -0.101%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.70%EV -1.82%E -0.320%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.24%EV -7.38%E -4.89%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.64%EV -2.69%E -0.475%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.46%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.08%EV -4.58%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.46%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -7.38%E -4.89%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 03:02 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -9.84%E -6.69%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.57%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -6.13%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 03:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -6.99%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -6.99%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -8.61%E -5.78%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.81%E -6.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.37%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.73%EV -14.74%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 03:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.81%EV -9.22%E -6.23%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.06%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.06%E -7.63%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-22 03:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -18.19%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 03:02 |