مدرسة الاحتمالات

Monterrey v Puebla

البداية: 2026-04-22 03:07 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Monterrey 2–1 Puebla

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Monterrey (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.34%1.63السعر العادل
EV -3.70%
الأفضلية -2.36%
Kelly -6.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.24%61.52%61.37%65.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.471.481.5773.53%67.95%67.57%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Puebla (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.22%5.81السعر العادل
EV +10.23%
الأفضلية +1.60%
Kelly +1.89%
النمو +0.194%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.36%17.09%17.13%18.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.755.585.506.4021.05%17.92%18.18%15.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.44%4.66السعر العادل
EV -0.300%
الأفضلية -0.065%
Kelly -0.082%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.19%21.39%21.50%23.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.334.354.6527.78%23.09%22.99%21.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +10.23%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.194%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 03:05
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 03:04
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 02:54
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 03:04
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 03:04
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 03:04
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -12.90%E -9.09%K -30.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 03:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -14.13%E -10.09%K -35.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 03:04
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -14.13%E -10.09%K -35.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 03:05
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -15.36%E -11.13%K -40.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 03:05
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 64.96%EV -16.58%E -12.19%K -46.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.669%G +0.022%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.31%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 03:04
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.96%EV -16.58%E -12.19%K -46.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.669%G +0.022%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.31%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 03:04
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.83%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.32%EV +1.45%E +0.246%K +0.296%G +0.004%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.85%EV -1.16%E -0.251%K -0.321%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 02:59
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.50%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.40%EV +1.10%E +0.188%K +0.227%G +0.003%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.11%EV -2.23%E -0.489%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 02:59
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +0.760%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.300%E -0.065%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 03:00
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +0.760%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.300%E -0.065%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 02:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -9.22%E -6.23%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -0.101%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 03:04
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.70%EV -1.82%E -0.320%K -0.388%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 02:59
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 62.24%EV -7.38%E -4.89%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.64%EV -2.69%E -0.475%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 02:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.46%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.08%EV -4.58%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.46%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:59
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 03:04
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -7.38%E -4.89%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 03:02
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 02:59
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 03:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -9.84%E -6.69%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 03:05
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.57%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -6.13%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 03:03
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -6.99%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 03:05
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -6.99%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 03:05
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 03:05
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 03:04
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 03:04
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 02:59
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 02:59
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -8.61%E -5.78%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 03:05
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 02:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 03:05
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 03:04
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 02:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 03:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.81%E -6.34%K -8.77%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 03:04
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.37%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.73%EV -14.74%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 03:03
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.81%EV -9.22%E -6.23%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.06%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 03:05
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.06%E -7.63%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-22 03:03
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -18.19%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 03:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%2.5%2026-04-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%2.5%2026-04-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-04-22 03:05
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%4.0%2026-04-22 03:02