La escuela de los momiosMonterrey v Puebla
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Monterrey (Local)
Predicción 61.34%1.63momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -6.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.24%61.52%61.37%65.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.471.481.5773.53%67.95%67.57%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Puebla (Visitante)
Predicción 17.22%5.81momio equitativo
EV +10.23%
Ventaja +1.60%
Kelly +1.89%
Crecimiento +0.194%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.36%17.09%17.13%18.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.585.506.4021.05%17.92%18.18%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.44%4.66momio equitativo
EV -0.300%
Ventaja -0.065%
Kelly -0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.19%21.39%21.50%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.334.354.6527.78%23.09%22.99%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +10.23%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.194% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -12.90%E -9.09%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -14.13%E -10.09%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -14.13%E -10.09%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -15.36%E -11.13%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.96%EV -16.58%E -12.19%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.669%G +0.022% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.31%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.96%EV -16.58%E -12.19%K -46.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.669%G +0.022% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.31%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.83%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.32%EV +1.45%E +0.246%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.85%EV -1.16%E -0.251%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.50%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.40%EV +1.10%E +0.188%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.11%EV -2.23%E -0.489%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +0.760%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.300%E -0.065%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +0.760%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.300%E -0.065%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -9.22%E -6.23%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -0.101%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.70%EV -1.82%E -0.320%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| BetUS | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.24%EV -7.38%E -4.89%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.64%EV -2.69%E -0.475%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.46%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.08%EV -4.58%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.46%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -7.38%E -4.89%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 03:02 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -9.84%E -6.69%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.57%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -6.13%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 03:03 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -6.99%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -6.99%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -8.61%E -5.78%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.81%E -6.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.37%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.73%EV -14.74%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 03:03 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.81%EV -9.22%E -6.23%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.06%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.06%E -7.63%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-22 03:03 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -18.19%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 03:02 |