L’École des cotes

Monterrey v Puebla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 03:07 UTC

Score final : Monterrey 2–1 Puebla

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Monterrey (Local)

Prévision 61.34%1.63cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -6.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%61.52%61.37%65.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.471.481.5773.53%67.95%67.57%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Puebla (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.22%5.81cote équitable
EV +10.23%
Avantage +1.60%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.194%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.36%17.09%17.13%18.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.585.506.4021.05%17.92%18.18%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.44%4.66cote équitable
EV -0.300%
Avantage -0.065%
Kelly -0.082%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.19%21.39%21.50%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.334.354.6527.78%23.09%22.99%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +10.23%E +1.60%K +1.89%G +0.194%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 03:05
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 03:04
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 02:54
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 03:04
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 03:04
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.37%E -0.298%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 03:04
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -12.90%E -9.09%K -30.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 03:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -14.13%E -10.09%K -35.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 03:04
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -14.13%E -10.09%K -35.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 03:05
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -15.36%E -11.13%K -40.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV +7.65%E +1.22%K +1.46%G +0.111%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 03:05
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 64.96%EV -16.58%E -12.19%K -46.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.669%G +0.022%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.31%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 03:04
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.96%EV -16.58%E -12.19%K -46.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV +3.34%E +0.557%K +0.669%G +0.022%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.31%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 03:04
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.83%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.32%EV +1.45%E +0.246%K +0.296%G +0.004%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.85%EV -1.16%E -0.251%K -0.321%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 02:59
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.50%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.40%EV +1.10%E +0.188%K +0.227%G +0.003%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.11%EV -2.23%E -0.489%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 02:59
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +0.760%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.300%E -0.065%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 03:00
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +0.760%E +0.130%K +0.157%G +0.001%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.300%E -0.065%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 02:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -9.22%E -6.23%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -0.101%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.52%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 03:04
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.70%EV -1.82%E -0.320%K -0.388%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 02:59
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 62.24%EV -7.38%E -4.89%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.64%EV -2.69%E -0.475%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 02:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.46%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.08%EV -4.58%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.46%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 02:59
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 03:04
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -7.38%E -4.89%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 03:02
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 02:59
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 03:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -9.84%E -6.69%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -5.27%E -0.958%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 03:05
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.57%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -6.13%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 03:03
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -6.99%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 03:05
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -6.99%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 03:05
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 03:05
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 03:04
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.16%E -4.02%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 03:04
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 02:59
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 02:59
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -8.61%E -5.78%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -10.44%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 03:05
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 02:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 03:05
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 03:04
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 02:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 03:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.88%E -2.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.81%E -6.34%K -8.77%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 03:04
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.37%EV -12.29%E -8.59%K -28.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.73%EV -14.74%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 03:03
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.81%EV -9.22%E -6.23%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.06%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 03:05
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.06%E -7.63%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.60%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-22 03:03
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -18.19%E -3.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 03:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%2.5%2026-04-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%2.5%2026-04-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%2.9%2026-04-22 03:05
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%4.0%2026-04-22 03:02