Language:English
Monterrey v FC Juárez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monterrey (Local)
Prediction 63.22%1.58fair odd
EV -0.741%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.54%62.79%63.35%64.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.481.5772.46%67.14%67.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Juárez (Visit)
Prediction 16.39%6.10fair odd
EV -0.675%
Edge -0.111%
Kelly -0.133%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.52%16.52%16.33%19.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.385.476.0622.22%18.59%18.26%16.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.39%4.90fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.231%
Kelly -0.291%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.71%20.69%20.32%22.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.334.284.8525.97%23.08%23.39%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 63.22%; FC Juárez (Visit): 16.39%; Draw: 20.39%. For FC Juárez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.06, with an expected value of -0.675%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -0.741%E -0.472%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -0.741%E -0.472%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.26%EV -2.01%E -1.29%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.66%EV -6.58%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.55%EV -3.27%E -2.14%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.26%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.29%EV -4.77%E -0.821%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.46%EV -10.09%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.73%E -0.359%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.70%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.10%EV -5.17%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.87%EV -0.675%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -2.14%E -0.446%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -5.17%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.18%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -15.39%E -3.71%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -15.39%E -3.71%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -4.94%E -0.851%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.05%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -9.27%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 01:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 00:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -6.58%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -8.26%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.67%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.67%EV -10.67%E -1.96%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 58.86%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -26.24%E -5.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -21.51%E -5.59%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.26%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 00:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 00:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.46%EV -9.59%E -6.71%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -11.31%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -12.75%E -9.24%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -11.49%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.88% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |