Idioma:Español
Monterrey v FC Juárez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Monterrey (Local)
Predicción 63.22%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.741%
Ventaja -0.472%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.54%62.79%63.35%64.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.481.5772.46%67.14%67.57%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Juárez (Visitante)
Predicción 16.39%6.10momio equitativo
EV -0.675%
Ventaja -0.111%
Kelly -0.133%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.52%16.52%16.33%19.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.385.476.0622.22%18.59%18.26%16.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.39%4.90momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.231%
Kelly -0.291%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.71%20.69%20.32%22.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.334.284.8525.97%23.08%23.39%20.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Monterrey (Local): 63.22%; FC Juárez (Visitante): 16.39%; Empate: 20.39%. Para FC Juárez (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.10. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 6.06, con un valor esperado de -0.675%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -0.741%E -0.472%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -0.741%E -0.472%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.26%EV -2.01%E -1.29%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.66%EV -6.58%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.55%EV -3.27%E -2.14%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.26%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.29%EV -4.77%E -0.821%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.46%EV -10.09%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.73%E -0.359%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.70%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.10%EV -5.17%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.87%EV -0.675%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -2.14%E -0.446%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -5.17%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.18%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -15.39%E -3.71%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -15.39%E -3.71%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -4.94%E -0.851%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.05%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -9.27%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 01:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 00:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -6.58%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -8.26%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.67%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.67%EV -10.67%E -1.96%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 58.86%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -26.24%E -5.83%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -21.51%E -5.59%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.26%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 00:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 00:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.46%EV -9.59%E -6.71%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -11.31%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -12.75%E -9.24%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -11.49%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.88% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 01:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 01:05 |