Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Monterrey v FC Juárez

Início: 2026-08-16 01:10 UTC

Final: Monterrey 6–1 FC Juárez

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Monterrey (Local)

Previsão 63.22%1.58odd justa
EV -0.741%
Vantagem -0.472%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.54%62.79%63.35%64.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.491.481.5772.46%67.14%67.57%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Juárez (Visitante)

Previsão 16.39%6.10odd justa
EV -0.675%
Vantagem -0.111%
Kelly -0.133%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.52%16.52%16.33%19.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.385.476.0622.22%18.59%18.26%16.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.39%4.90odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.231%
Kelly -0.291%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.71%20.69%20.32%22.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.334.284.8525.97%23.08%23.39%20.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Monterrey (Local): 63.22%; FC Juárez (Visitante): 16.39%; Empate: 20.39%. Para FC Juárez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.10. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 6.06, com valor esperado de -0.675%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -0.741%E -0.472%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -0.741%E -0.472%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 00:34
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:34
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:34
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.26%EV -2.01%E -1.29%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.66%EV -6.58%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:24
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.55%EV -3.27%E -2.14%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 00:35
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.26%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.29%EV -4.77%E -0.821%K -0.992%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.46%EV -10.09%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 00:54
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 00:55
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.73%E -0.359%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.70%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 00:34
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.10%EV -5.17%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.87%EV -0.675%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -2.14%E -0.446%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -5.17%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.18%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 00:54
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 01:04
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 00:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 00:55
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -15.39%E -3.71%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 00:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -15.39%E -3.71%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 00:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 00:55
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -4.94%E -0.851%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 01:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.05%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -9.27%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 00:54
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 01:00
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 00:59
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 01:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -6.58%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -8.26%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 00:54
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.67%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.67%EV -10.67%E -1.96%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 01:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 58.86%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -26.24%E -5.83%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -21.51%E -5.59%K -7.55%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-16 00:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 00:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 00:59
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.26%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 00:59
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 00:58
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 00:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 00:54
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 00:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.46%EV -9.59%E -6.71%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -11.31%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 00:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -12.75%E -9.24%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -11.49%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 01:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.88%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-08-16 01:05
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-08-16 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.9%2026-08-16 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.9%2026-08-16 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.9%2026-08-16 01:04
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%2.9%2026-08-16 01:05