Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Monterrey v FC Juárez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 01:10 UTC

Score final : Monterrey 6–1 FC Juárez

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Monterrey (Local)

Prévision 63.22%1.58cote équitable
EV -0.741%
Avantage -0.472%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.54%62.79%63.35%64.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.481.5772.46%67.14%67.57%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Juárez (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.39%6.10cote équitable
EV -0.675%
Avantage -0.111%
Kelly -0.133%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.52%16.52%16.33%19.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.385.476.0622.22%18.59%18.26%16.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.39%4.90cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.231%
Kelly -0.291%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.71%20.69%20.32%22.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.334.284.8525.97%23.08%23.39%20.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Monterrey (Local) : 63.22% ; FC Juárez (Visiteur) : 16.39% ; Match nul : 20.39%. Pour FC Juárez (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.10. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 6.06, pour une espérance de -0.675% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -0.741%E -0.472%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -0.741%E -0.472%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 00:34
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:34
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -1.37%E -0.881%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -19.69%E -4.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -16.41%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:34
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.26%EV -2.01%E -1.29%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.66%EV -6.58%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:24
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.55%EV -3.27%E -2.14%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 00:35
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.26%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.29%EV -4.77%E -0.821%K -0.992%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.46%EV -10.09%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.54%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 00:54
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.98%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.92%EV -1.12%E -0.231%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 00:55
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.73%E -0.359%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.70%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -22.97%E -4.89%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -19.47%E -4.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 00:34
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.10%EV -5.17%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.87%EV -0.675%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -2.14%E -0.446%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -5.17%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.18%E -0.889%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 00:54
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 01:04
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 00:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 00:55
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -15.39%E -3.71%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 00:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -15.39%E -3.71%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 00:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.43%E -4.35%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 00:55
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -4.94%E -0.851%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 01:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.05%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.76%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -9.27%E -2.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 00:54
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.06%E -4.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 01:00
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 00:59
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.66%E -0.276%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -3.30%E -0.559%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 01:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -6.58%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -8.26%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 00:54
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.67%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.67%EV -10.67%E -1.96%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 01:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 58.86%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -26.24%E -5.83%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -21.51%E -5.59%K -7.55%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-16 00:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 00:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 00:59
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.26%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 00:59
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 00:58
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 00:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 00:54
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.05%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 00:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.46%EV -9.59%E -6.71%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.95%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -11.31%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 00:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -12.75%E -9.24%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -11.49%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.88%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-08-16 01:05
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-08-16 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.9%2026-08-16 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.9%2026-08-16 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.9%2026-08-16 01:04
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%2.9%2026-08-16 01:05