Language:English
León v Tijuana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
León (Local)
Prediction 52.69%1.90fair odd
EV -0.935%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.17%52.61%52.58%54.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.771.771.8862.11%56.61%56.50%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tijuana (Visit)
Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.354%
Kelly +0.458%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.82%23.18%23.05%25.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.903.904.4028.99%25.64%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.22%4.13fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.378%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.21%24.37%25.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.804.0828.57%26.40%26.32%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: León (Local): 52.69%; Tijuana (Visit): 23.08%; Draw: 24.22%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.94%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV +1.56%E +0.354%K +0.458%G +0.007% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV +0.635%E +0.146%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.286%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV +0.635%E +0.146%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.286%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.68%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV -1.21%E -0.283%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV -1.41%E -0.346%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.31%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.10%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 00:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.31%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -8.43%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.19%EV -10.95%E -6.48%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -6.52%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.36%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.10%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.45%EV -15.16%E -9.42%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.65%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-15 00:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -0.935%E -0.497%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -0.935%E -0.497%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -11.47%E -6.83%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.94%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -4.62%E -2.55%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -4.62%E -2.55%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -18.06%E -5.09%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -20.37%E -5.90%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42% | 1.7% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 2.8% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |