La escuela de los momiosLeón v Tijuana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
León (Local)
Predicción 52.69%1.90momio equitativo
EV -0.935%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.17%52.61%52.58%54.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.771.771.8862.11%56.61%56.50%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tijuana (Visitante)
Predicción 23.08%4.33momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.354%
Kelly +0.458%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.82%23.18%23.05%25.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.903.904.4028.99%25.64%25.64%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.22%4.13momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.286%
Kelly -0.378%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.05%24.21%24.37%25.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.793.804.0828.57%26.40%26.32%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.94%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV +1.56%E +0.354%K +0.458%G +0.007% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV +0.635%E +0.146%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.286%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV +0.635%E +0.146%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.286%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 00:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.68%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV -1.21%E -0.283%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV -1.41%E -0.346%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.31%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.10%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 00:34 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 00:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.31%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -8.43%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.19%EV -10.95%E -6.48%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -6.52%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.36%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 20:30 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.10%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.45%EV -15.16%E -9.42%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.65%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-15 00:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -0.935%E -0.497%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -0.935%E -0.497%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -11.47%E -6.83%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.94%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -4.62%E -2.55%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -4.62%E -2.55%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -18.06%E -5.09%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -20.37%E -5.90%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42% | 1.7% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72% | 2.8% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |