مدرسة الاحتمالات

León v Tijuana

البداية: 2026-03-15 01:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

León (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.69%1.90السعر العادل
EV -0.935%
الأفضلية -0.497%
Kelly -1.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.17%52.61%52.58%54.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.771.771.8862.11%56.61%56.50%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tijuana (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.08%4.33السعر العادل
EV +1.56%
الأفضلية +0.354%
Kelly +0.458%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.82%23.18%23.05%25.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.903.904.4028.99%25.64%25.64%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.22%4.13السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.286%
Kelly -0.378%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.05%24.21%24.37%25.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.793.804.0828.57%26.40%26.32%24.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.94%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV +1.56%E +0.354%K +0.458%G +0.007%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 00:55
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV +0.635%E +0.146%K +0.189%G +0.001%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.286%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 00:50
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV +0.635%E +0.146%K +0.189%G +0.001%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.286%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 00:49
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.68%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV -1.21%E -0.283%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV -1.41%E -0.346%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 00:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:35
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.31%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.10%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 00:34
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 00:54
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 00:55
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.31%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:35
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -8.43%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 00:55
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 00:35
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.19%EV -10.95%E -6.48%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 00:45
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -6.52%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.36%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 00:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 00:45
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 00:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 00:55
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 00:55
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 00:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:30
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 00:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 00:50
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 00:35
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 00:39
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 00:30
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.10%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 00:35
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 00:45
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 00:45
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.45%EV -15.16%E -9.42%K -24.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.65%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 00:54
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -0.935%E -0.497%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 00:30
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -0.935%E -0.497%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 00:30
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 00:15
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -11.47%E -6.83%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 00:39
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 00:30
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.94%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -4.62%E -2.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -4.62%E -2.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 00:30
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -18.06%E -5.09%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 00:30
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -20.37%E -5.90%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 00:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-03-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-03-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-03-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-03-15 00:55
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-03-15 00:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-03-15 00:55