A Escola das Odds

León v Tijuana

Início: 2026-03-15 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

León (Local)

Previsão 52.69%1.90odd justa
EV -0.935%
Vantagem -0.497%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.17%52.61%52.58%54.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.771.771.8862.11%56.61%56.50%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tijuana (Visitante)

Previsão 23.08%4.33odd justa
EV +1.56%
Vantagem +0.354%
Kelly +0.458%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.82%23.18%23.05%25.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.453.903.904.4028.99%25.64%25.64%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.22%4.13odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.286%
Kelly -0.378%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.05%24.21%24.37%25.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.793.804.0828.57%26.40%26.32%24.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.94%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV +1.56%E +0.354%K +0.458%G +0.007%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 00:55
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV +0.635%E +0.146%K +0.189%G +0.001%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.286%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 00:50
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV +0.635%E +0.146%K +0.189%G +0.001%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.65%EV -1.16%E -0.286%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 00:49
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.68%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV -1.21%E -0.283%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV -1.41%E -0.346%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 00:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.12%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:35
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.31%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.06%E -0.728%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.10%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 00:34
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 00:54
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.21%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 00:55
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.31%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:35
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -8.43%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 00:55
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 00:35
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.19%EV -10.95%E -6.48%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.37%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 00:45
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.37%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.27%EV -6.52%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.36%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.20%E -3.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 00:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 00:45
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 00:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 00:55
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -9.37%E -5.45%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 00:55
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -9.89%E -5.79%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 00:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 20:30
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 00:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 00:50
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 00:35
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 00:39
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.22%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 00:30
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.10%E -0.776%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -8.31%E -4.78%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 00:35
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 00:45
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 00:45
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.45%EV -15.16%E -9.42%K -24.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.65%EV -12.29%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 00:54
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -0.935%E -0.497%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 00:30
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -0.935%E -0.497%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 00:30
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 00:15
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -11.47%E -6.83%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -13.44%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 00:39
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:30
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 00:30
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.95%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.94%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.75%E -4.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -4.62%E -2.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -4.62%E -2.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -16.91%E -4.70%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -9.16%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 00:30
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -18.06%E -5.09%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 00:30
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -7.78%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -20.37%E -5.90%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.79%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 00:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-03-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-03-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-03-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-03-15 00:55
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-03-15 00:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-03-15 00:55