Language:English
León v Monterrey
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
León (Local)
Prediction 30.26%3.31fair odd
EV +5.29%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.113%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.63%30.33%30.25%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.003.003.4837.04%33.36%33.33%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Monterrey (Visit)
Prediction 43.38%2.31fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.70%43.31%43.50%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.75%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.36%3.79fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.910%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.37%26.24%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.82%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: León (Local): 30.26%; Monterrey (Visit): 43.38%; Draw: 26.36%. For León (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV +5.29%E +1.52%K +2.13%G +0.113% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 00:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -2.58%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.62%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.46%E -0.664%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.84%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.45%EV -5.86%E -2.70%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.71%EV -6.94%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.38%EV -2.39%E -1.06%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 00:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.77%E -4.70%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -12.47%E -3.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.65%E -3.99%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -12.37%E -6.12%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.24%E -6.62%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -18.31%E -6.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |