Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

León v Monterrey

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 01:00 UTC

Score final : León 2–0 Monterrey

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

León (Local)

Prévision 30.26%3.31cote équitable
EV +5.29%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.113%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%30.33%30.25%32.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.003.003.4837.04%33.36%33.33%28.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Monterrey (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.38%2.31cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.70%43.31%43.50%45.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.75%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.36%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.664%
Kelly -0.910%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.37%26.24%27.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.82%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : León (Local) : 30.26% ; Monterrey (Visiteur) : 43.38% ; Match nul : 26.36%. Pour León (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.31. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.48, soit une espérance positive de +5.29%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV +5.29%E +1.52%K +2.13%G +0.113%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 00:45
Pinnacle🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -2.58%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.62%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 00:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 00:35
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.46%E -0.664%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 00:54
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.84%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.45%EV -5.86%E -2.70%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.71%EV -6.94%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 00:49
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.38%EV -2.39%E -1.06%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 00:35
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:40
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:40
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:54
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:54
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:59
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:54
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 00:59
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 00:34
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:44
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:45
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 00:55
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 00:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 00:45
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 00:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.77%E -4.70%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -12.47%E -3.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 00:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.65%E -3.99%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -12.37%E -6.12%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 00:35
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:05
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:04
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 00:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 00:34
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 00:34
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-22 00:35
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 00:05
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.24%E -6.62%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 00:59
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 00:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -18.31%E -6.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-22 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-08-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-08-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-08-22 00:55
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-08-22 00:55
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-08-22 00:40