Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

León v Monterrey

Início: 2026-08-22 01:00 UTC

Final: León 2–0 Monterrey

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

León (Local)

Previsão 30.26%3.31odd justa
EV +5.29%
Vantagem +1.52%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescimento +0.113%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.63%30.33%30.25%32.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.703.003.003.4837.04%33.36%33.33%28.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Monterrey (Visitante)

Previsão 43.38%2.31odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.70%43.31%43.50%45.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.75%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.36%3.79odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -0.664%
Kelly -0.910%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.22%26.37%26.24%27.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.82%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: León (Local): 30.26%; Monterrey (Visitante): 43.38%; Empate: 26.36%. Para León (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.31. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.48, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.29%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV +5.29%E +1.52%K +2.13%G +0.113%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 00:45
Pinnacle🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -2.58%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.62%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 00:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 00:35
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.46%E -0.664%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 00:54
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.84%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.45%EV -5.86%E -2.70%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.71%EV -6.94%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 00:49
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.38%EV -2.39%E -1.06%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 00:35
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:40
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:40
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:54
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:54
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:59
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 00:54
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 00:59
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 00:34
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:44
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:45
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 00:55
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 00:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 00:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 00:45
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 00:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.77%E -4.70%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -12.47%E -3.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 00:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.65%E -3.99%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -12.37%E -6.12%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 00:35
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:05
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:04
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 00:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 00:34
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 00:34
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-22 00:35
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 00:05
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.24%E -6.62%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 00:59
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 00:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -18.31%E -6.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-22 00:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-08-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-08-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-08-22 00:55
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-08-22 00:55
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-08-22 00:40