Idioma:Español
León v Monterrey
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
León (Local)
Predicción 30.26%3.31momio equitativo
EV +5.29%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +2.13%
Crecimiento +0.113%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%30.33%30.25%32.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.4837.04%33.36%33.33%28.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Monterrey (Visitante)
Predicción 43.38%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.70%43.31%43.50%45.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.75%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.36%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.664%
Kelly -0.910%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.37%26.24%27.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.82%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: León (Local): 30.26%; Monterrey (Visitante): 43.38%; Empate: 26.36%. Para León (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.31. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.48, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.29%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV +5.29%E +1.52%K +2.13%G +0.113% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 00:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -2.58%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.62%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.31%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.53%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -2.98%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.46%E -0.664%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.84%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.45%EV -5.86%E -2.70%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.71%EV -6.94%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.38%EV -2.39%E -1.06%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 00:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -10.74%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.77%E -4.70%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -12.47%E -3.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.65%E -3.99%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -12.37%E -6.12%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 00:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.24%E -6.62%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -18.31%E -6.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-22 00:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 00:40 |