The School of OddsLeón v Atlas
Head to Head
Option 1: León (Local)
Odds
1.8554.05%Min
1.9451.59%Mean
1.9551.28%Median
2.0249.50%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.97%2.224Min
48.30%2.070Max
47.09%2.124Mean
47.89%2.088Median
47.09%2.124IQM
47.51%2.105Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.02 under the IQM model: 47.09%
EV -4.89%Edge -2.42%Kelly -4.79%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Atlas (Visit)
Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.5428.25%Mean
3.5528.17%Median
3.8026.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.79%4.034Min
25.99%3.848Max
25.29%3.954Mean
25.24%3.962Median
25.29%3.954IQM
25.18%3.972Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 25.29%
EV -3.90%Edge -1.03%Kelly -1.39%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.2430.90%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.67%3.750Min
29.23%3.421Max
27.63%3.620Mean
26.86%3.723Median
27.63%3.620IQM
27.31%3.662Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.63%
EV -3.31%Edge -0.946%Kelly -1.32%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | León (Local) ▼ | Atlas (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.70%EV -4.89% E -2.42% K -4.79% G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10% NM 25.56%EV -6.68% E -1.81% K -2.48% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.74%EV -6.07% E -1.79% K -2.53% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.30%EV -8.18% E -4.20% K -8.61% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.79%EV -3.90% E -1.03% K -1.39% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.91%EV -3.31% E -0.946% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.98%EV -8.18% E -4.20% K -8.61% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.29%EV -6.43% E -1.74% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.73%EV -3.31% E -0.946% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 13:01 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28% NM 44.97%EV -8.18% E -4.20% K -8.61% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.79%EV -14.02% E -4.12% K -5.84% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.23%EV -17.12% E -5.71% K -8.56% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-05 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 44.97%EV -8.18% E -4.20% K -8.61% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.79%EV -14.02% E -4.12% K -5.84% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.23%EV -17.12% E -5.71% K -8.56% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-05 17:25 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28% NM 44.97%EV -8.18% E -4.20% K -8.61% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.79%EV -14.02% E -4.12% K -5.84% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.23%EV -17.12% E -5.71% K -8.56% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-05 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 44.97%EV -8.18% E -4.20% K -8.61% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.79%EV -14.02% E -4.12% K -5.84% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.23%EV -17.12% E -5.71% K -8.56% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-05 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55% NM 48.11%EV -8.65% E -4.46% K -9.21% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.22%EV -6.43% E -1.74% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.67%EV -3.31% E -0.946% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36% NM 47.24%EV -10.07% E -5.27% K -11.06% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.42%EV -10.22% E -2.88% K -4.01% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.34%EV -8.84% E -2.68% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-05 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63% NM 47.54%EV -10.54% E -5.55% K -11.71% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.09%EV -8.96% E -2.49% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.37%EV -8.84% E -2.68% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-05 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05% NM 46.35%EV -12.89% E -6.97% K -15.17% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 25.99%EV -16.55% E -5.01% K -7.19% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 27.66%EV -14.36% E -4.63% K -6.84% G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-07-05 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth