مدرسة الاحتمالات

León v Atlas

البداية: 2026-07-18 01:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: León 2–3 Atlas

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

León (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.20%2.32السعر العادل
EV -4.54%
الأفضلية -2.05%
Kelly -3.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.07%43.23%43.30%46.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.922.112.102.2152.08%47.47%47.62%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.35%3.41السعر العادل
EV +4.20%
الأفضلية +1.18%
Kelly +1.65%
النمو +0.069%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.73%29.25%29.28%30.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.233.203.5534.48%31.00%31.25%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.45%3.64السعر العادل
EV -2.00%
الأفضلية -0.560%
Kelly -0.778%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.62%27.52%27.42%28.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.343.353.5732.26%29.90%29.85%28.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -10.15%E -4.88%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV +4.20%E +1.18%K +1.65%G +0.069%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:30
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -10.15%E -4.88%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV +4.20%E +1.18%K +1.65%G +0.069%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:30
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.26%E -2.89%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV +2.74%E +0.782%K +1.09%G +0.030%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -7.22%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 00:55
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:30
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:30
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:30
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -12.74%E -6.31%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 00:30
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -13.61%E -6.80%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -0.200%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -14.47%E -7.31%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -0.200%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -14.90%E -7.57%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -0.200%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 00:30
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -15.34%E -7.82%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -1.67%E -0.498%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 00:30
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.92%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.02%EV -2.25%E -0.677%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -2.00%E -0.560%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-18 00:55
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.92%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.02%EV -2.25%E -0.677%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -2.00%E -0.560%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-18 00:55
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.14%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 00:50
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.51%EV -4.31%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -2.00%E -0.560%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 00:45
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.42%E -3.97%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.58%EV -4.31%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 22:49
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.83%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:50
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.83%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:50
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -17.06%E -8.89%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-18 00:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 00:34
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.83%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 00:35
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 00:25
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 00:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 00:50
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -6.66%E -2.09%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.55%E -0.718%K -1.000%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 00:55
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.66%E -2.09%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -8.31%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 00:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 00:35
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 00:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 00:35
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 00:50
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 23:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 00:45
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 23:28
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 00:35
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.81%EV -10.15%E -4.88%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.00%EV -12.71%E -4.00%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 00:34
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 00:35
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 18:04
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-17 23:25
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-17 23:25
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-17 23:24
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-17 23:24
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -13.61%E -6.80%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-18 00:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-07-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-07-18 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-07-18 00:55
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-07-18 00:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-07-18 00:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.73%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-07-18 00:55