L’École des cotesLeón v Atlas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
León (Local)
Prévision 43.20%2.32cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -3.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.07%43.23%43.30%46.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.112.102.2152.08%47.47%47.62%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atlas (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.35%3.41cote équitable
EV +4.20%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.069%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.73%29.25%29.28%30.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.233.203.5534.48%31.00%31.25%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.45%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.560%
Kelly -0.778%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.62%27.52%27.42%28.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.353.5732.26%29.90%29.85%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -10.15%E -4.88%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV +4.20%E +1.18%K +1.65%G +0.069% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -10.15%E -4.88%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV +4.20%E +1.18%K +1.65%G +0.069% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.26%E -2.89%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV +2.74%E +0.782%K +1.09%G +0.030% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -7.22%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -12.74%E -6.31%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -13.61%E -6.80%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -0.200%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -14.47%E -7.31%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -0.200%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -14.90%E -7.57%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -0.200%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -15.34%E -7.82%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -1.67%E -0.498%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.92%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.02%EV -2.25%E -0.677%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -2.00%E -0.560%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.92%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.02%EV -2.25%E -0.677%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -2.00%E -0.560%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.14%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.51%EV -4.31%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -2.00%E -0.560%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 00:45 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.42%E -3.97%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.58%EV -4.31%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.83%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.83%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -17.06%E -8.89%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 00:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.83%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -6.66%E -2.09%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.55%E -0.718%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.66%E -2.09%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -8.31%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 23:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 00:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-17 23:28 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.81%EV -10.15%E -4.88%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.00%EV -12.71%E -4.00%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 00:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 18:04 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 23:25 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -13.61%E -6.80%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66% | 1.8% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.73% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |