La escuela de los momiosLeón v Atlas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
León (Local)
Predicción 43.20%2.32momio equitativo
EV -4.54%
Ventaja -2.05%
Kelly -3.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.07%43.23%43.30%46.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.112.102.2152.08%47.47%47.62%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlas (Visitante)
Predicción 29.35%3.41momio equitativo
EV +4.20%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.069%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.73%29.25%29.28%30.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.233.203.5534.48%31.00%31.25%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.45%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.560%
Kelly -0.778%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.62%27.52%27.42%28.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.353.5732.26%29.90%29.85%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -10.15%E -4.88%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV +4.20%E +1.18%K +1.65%G +0.069% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -10.15%E -4.88%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV +4.20%E +1.18%K +1.65%G +0.069% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.21%EV -6.26%E -2.89%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV +2.74%E +0.782%K +1.09%G +0.030% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -7.22%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -11.88%E -5.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -12.74%E -6.31%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -13.61%E -6.80%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -0.200%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -14.47%E -7.31%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -0.200%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -14.90%E -7.57%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -0.200%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -15.34%E -7.82%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -1.67%E -0.498%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.92%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.02%EV -2.25%E -0.677%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -2.00%E -0.560%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.92%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.02%EV -2.25%E -0.677%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -2.00%E -0.560%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.14%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.51%EV -4.31%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -2.00%E -0.560%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 00:45 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -8.42%E -3.97%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.58%EV -4.31%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.83%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.83%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -17.06%E -8.89%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-18 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 00:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.83%E -2.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -6.66%E -2.09%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.55%E -0.718%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.66%E -2.09%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -8.31%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.92%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 23:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 00:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-17 23:28 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.81%EV -10.15%E -4.88%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.00%EV -12.71%E -4.00%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 00:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.29%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 18:04 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 23:25 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -7.13%E -3.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -13.61%E -6.80%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-18 00:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66% | 1.8% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.73% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 00:55 |