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Guadalajara v FC Juárez
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Guadalajara (Хозяева)
Прогноз 68.10%1.47справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.791%
Преимущество +0.534%
Kelly +1.65%
Рост +0.013%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.48
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
62.66%67.74%68.07%69.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.281.371.371.4878.13%72.90%73.26%67.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
FC Juárez (Гости)
Прогноз 13.07%7.65справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.98%
Преимущество +0.254%
Kelly +0.292%
Рост +0.006%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.20%13.22%13.23%16.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.706.946.907.8017.54%14.40%14.49%12.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 18.82%5.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.21%
Преимущество +0.407%
Kelly +0.499%
Рост +0.011%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.43
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.74%19.03%18.70%21.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.794.755.4322.73%20.89%21.05%18.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Guadalajara (Хозяева): 68.10%; FC Juárez (Гости): 13.07%; Ничья: 18.82%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.31. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.43, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.21%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV +0.791%E +0.534%K +1.65%G +0.013% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -25.47%E -4.47%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-20 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -1.93%E -1.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -16.24%E -3.65%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -1.93%E -1.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -16.24%E -3.65%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.69%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.40%EV +1.33%E +0.172%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.08%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.26%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +0.677%E +0.088%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.23%EV -0.613%E -0.116%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.35%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.57%EV -2.59%E -0.348%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.09%EV -12.28%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.74%EV +2.21%E +0.407%K +0.499%G +0.011% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.74%EV +2.21%E +0.407%K +0.499%G +0.011% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.96%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.20%EV +1.98%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.94%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.64%EV -2.59%E -0.348%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.64%EV -4.94%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 22:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -2.12%E -0.407%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.97%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.30%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.12%E -0.407%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 22:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.39%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.48%EV -13.71%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.13%EV -12.47%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-25 22:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.83%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.47%E -8.82%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.47%E -8.82%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.79%EV -12.83%E -10.02%K -45.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.35%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.97% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.16% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.98% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86% | 1.8% | 2026-07-25 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 2.0% | 2026-07-25 22:35 |