مدرسة الاحتمالات

Guadalajara v FC Juárez

البداية: 2026-07-25 23:07 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Guadalajara (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.10%1.47السعر العادل
EV +0.791%
الأفضلية +0.534%
Kelly +1.65%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.66%67.74%68.07%69.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.281.371.371.4878.13%72.90%73.26%67.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Juárez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.07%7.65السعر العادل
EV +1.98%
الأفضلية +0.254%
Kelly +0.292%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.20%13.22%13.23%16.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.706.946.907.8017.54%14.40%14.49%12.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.82%5.31السعر العادل
EV +2.21%
الأفضلية +0.407%
Kelly +0.499%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.74%19.03%18.70%21.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.794.755.4322.73%20.89%21.05%18.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV +0.791%E +0.534%K +1.65%G +0.013%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -25.47%E -4.47%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 13:55
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -1.93%E -1.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -16.24%E -3.65%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:05
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -1.93%E -1.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -16.24%E -3.65%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 23:04
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.69%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.40%EV +1.33%E +0.172%K +0.197%G +0.003%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.08%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 22:59
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 22:49
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 22:49
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 23:04
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:50
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:50
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:50
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:49
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.26%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +0.677%E +0.088%K +0.101%G +0.001%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.23%EV -0.613%E -0.116%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 23:05
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 67.35%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.57%EV -2.59%E -0.348%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.09%EV -12.28%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 20:45
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.74%EV +2.21%E +0.407%K +0.499%G +0.011%3.8%2026-07-25 20:45
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.74%EV +2.21%E +0.407%K +0.499%G +0.011%3.8%2026-07-25 20:45
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.96%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.20%EV +1.98%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.94%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:55
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:59
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 22:49
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 22:49
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.64%EV -2.59%E -0.348%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.64%EV -4.94%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 23:04
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:55
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 22:14
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 20:40
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 20:40
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 20:45
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 23:05
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 22:49
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 22:14
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 22:30
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 22:29
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 22:29
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 22:14
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -2.12%E -0.407%K -0.504%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 23:05
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 67.97%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.30%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 23:04
Everygame1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:34
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 22:50
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.12%E -0.407%K -0.504%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 22:58
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.39%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.48%EV -13.71%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.13%EV -12.47%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 22:51
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.83%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 22:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.47%E -8.82%K -38.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.47%E -8.82%K -38.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 23:04
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.79%EV -12.83%E -10.02%K -45.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.35%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-25 23:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.97%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.6%2026-07-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-07-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-07-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-07-25 23:00
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.16%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.98%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86%1.8%2026-07-25 23:00
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%2.0%2026-07-25 22:35