La escuela de los momiosGuadalajara v FC Juárez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Guadalajara (Local)
Predicción 68.10%1.47momio equitativo
EV +0.791%
Ventaja +0.534%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.66%67.74%68.07%69.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.371.371.4878.13%72.90%73.26%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Juárez (Visitante)
Predicción 13.07%7.65momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.254%
Kelly +0.292%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.20%13.22%13.23%16.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.706.946.907.8017.54%14.40%14.49%12.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.82%5.31momio equitativo
EV +2.21%
Ventaja +0.407%
Kelly +0.499%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.74%19.03%18.70%21.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.794.755.4322.73%20.89%21.05%18.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV +0.791%E +0.534%K +1.65%G +0.013% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -25.47%E -4.47%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-20 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -1.93%E -1.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -16.24%E -3.65%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -1.93%E -1.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -16.24%E -3.65%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.69%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.40%EV +1.33%E +0.172%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.08%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.26%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +0.677%E +0.088%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.23%EV -0.613%E -0.116%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.35%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.57%EV -2.59%E -0.348%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.09%EV -12.28%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.74%EV +2.21%E +0.407%K +0.499%G +0.011% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.74%EV +2.21%E +0.407%K +0.499%G +0.011% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.96%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.20%EV +1.98%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.94%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.64%EV -2.59%E -0.348%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.64%EV -4.94%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 22:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:40 |
| betano_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:14 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -2.12%E -0.407%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.97%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.30%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Everygame | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.12%E -0.407%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 22:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.39%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.48%EV -13.71%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.13%EV -12.47%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-25 22:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.83%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.47%E -8.82%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.47%E -8.82%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.79%EV -12.83%E -10.02%K -45.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.35%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.97% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.16% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.98% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86% | 1.8% | 2026-07-25 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 2.0% | 2026-07-25 22:35 |