L’École des cotesGuadalajara v FC Juárez
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Guadalajara (Local)
Prévision 68.10%1.47cote équitable
EV +0.791%
Avantage +0.534%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 1.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.66%67.74%68.07%69.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.371.371.4878.13%72.90%73.26%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Juárez (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.07%7.65cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.292%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 7.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.20%13.22%13.23%16.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.706.946.907.8017.54%14.40%14.49%12.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.82%5.31cote équitable
EV +2.21%
Avantage +0.407%
Kelly +0.499%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 5.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.74%19.03%18.70%21.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.794.755.4322.73%20.89%21.05%18.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV +0.791%E +0.534%K +1.65%G +0.013% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -25.47%E -4.47%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-20 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -1.93%E -1.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -16.24%E -3.65%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -1.93%E -1.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.62%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -16.24%E -3.65%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.69%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.40%EV +1.33%E +0.172%K +0.197%G +0.003% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -9.08%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -3.30%E -2.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.26%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +0.677%E +0.088%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.23%EV -0.613%E -0.116%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.35%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.57%EV -2.59%E -0.348%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.09%EV -12.28%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.74%EV +2.21%E +0.407%K +0.499%G +0.011% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.46%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.74%EV +2.21%E +0.407%K +0.499%G +0.011% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.96%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.20%EV +1.98%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.94%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.64%EV -2.59%E -0.348%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.64%EV -4.94%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 22:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 22:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:40 |
| betano_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 20:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 20:45 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -11.74%E -1.74%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:14 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -2.12%E -0.407%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.97%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.30%EV -9.78%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Everygame | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 22:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.12%E -0.407%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -1.94%E -0.258%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 22:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.42%E -7.09%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.39%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.48%EV -13.71%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.13%EV -12.47%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-25 22:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.83%EV -10.11%E -7.66%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -15.29%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.47%E -8.82%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.47%E -8.82%K -38.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.48%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.79%EV -12.83%E -10.02%K -45.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.35%EV -15.01%E -2.31%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.97% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.16% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.98% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86% | 1.8% | 2026-07-25 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 2.0% | 2026-07-25 22:35 |