The School of OddsFC Juárez v Puebla
Head to Head
Option 1: FC Juárez (Local)
Odds
1.6261.73%Min
1.7158.55%Mean
1.7258.14%Median
1.7756.50%Max
Consensus probabilities
51.11%1.957Min
55.02%1.817Max
53.06%1.885Mean
53.06%1.885Median
53.06%1.885IQM
53.55%1.868Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.77 under the IQM model: 53.06%
EV -6.08%Edge -3.43%Kelly -7.89%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Puebla (Visit)
Odds
3.9025.64%Min
4.1524.10%Mean
4.0824.54%Median
4.4522.47%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.13%4.732Min
22.12%4.522Max
21.62%4.626Mean
21.62%4.626Median
21.62%4.626IQM
21.50%4.651Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.45 under the IQM model: 21.62%
EV -3.80%Edge -0.853%Kelly -1.10%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.5528.13%Mean
3.5528.17%Median
3.9025.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.84%4.194Min
26.79%3.733Max
25.32%3.950Mean
25.32%3.950Median
25.32%3.950IQM
24.96%4.007Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.90 under the IQM model: 25.32%
EV -1.26%Edge -0.324%Kelly -0.435%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | FC Juárez (Local) ▼ | Puebla (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.30%EV -6.08% E -3.43% K -7.89% G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47% NM 21.20%EV -3.80% E -0.853% K -1.10% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.50%EV -6.33% E -1.71% K -2.34% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:35 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80% NM 51.11%EV -8.20% E -4.74% K -11.23% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.10%EV -13.53% E -3.38% K -4.51% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.79%EV -16.45% E -4.99% K -7.15% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-05 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 51.11%EV -8.20% E -4.74% K -11.23% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.10%EV -13.53% E -3.38% K -4.51% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.79%EV -16.45% E -4.99% K -7.15% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-05 17:25 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80% NM 51.11%EV -8.20% E -4.74% K -11.23% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.10%EV -13.53% E -3.38% K -4.51% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.79%EV -16.45% E -4.99% K -7.15% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-05 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 51.11%EV -8.20% E -4.74% K -11.23% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.10%EV -13.53% E -3.38% K -4.51% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.79%EV -16.45% E -4.99% K -7.15% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-05 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48% NM 54.73%EV -9.26% E -5.42% K -13.04% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.27%EV -4.88% E -1.11% K -1.43% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.00%EV -1.26% E -0.324% K -0.435% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82% NM 53.14%EV -9.79% E -5.76% K -13.99% G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10% NM 21.77%EV -10.28% E -2.48% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.09%EV -8.86% E -2.46% K -3.41% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-05 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17% NM 55.02%EV -10.32% E -6.11% K -14.96% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.13%EV -4.88% E -1.11% K -1.43% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.84%EV -1.26% E -0.324% K -0.435% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 13:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88% NM 54.26%EV -11.38% E -6.82% K -16.99% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.58%EV -9.20% E -2.19% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.16%EV -5.06% E -1.35% K -1.84% G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73% NM 53.24%EV -14.04% E -8.66% K -22.64% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.12%EV -15.69% E -4.02% K -5.41% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 24.64%EV -11.39% E -3.25% K -4.56% G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-07-05 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth