L’École des cotes

FC Juárez v Puebla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 03:00 UTC

Score final : FC Juárez 0–1 Puebla

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Prévision 55.17%1.81cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.94%55.32%55.10%58.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.651.671.7666.23%60.52%60.06%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Puebla (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.34%4.92cote équitable
EV +0.675%
Avantage +0.136%
Kelly +0.171%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.14%20.22%20.36%21.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.594.604.9523.81%21.78%21.74%20.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.49%4.08cote équitable
EV +2.87%
Avantage +0.684%
Kelly +0.898%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.35%24.46%24.53%26.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.833.834.2029.41%26.08%26.14%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.97%EV -9.52%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -0.342%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV +2.87%E +0.684%K +0.898%G +0.026%5.2%2026-07-18 02:25
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.97%EV -9.52%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -0.342%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV +2.87%E +0.684%K +0.898%G +0.026%5.2%2026-07-18 02:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.39%E -8.53%K -23.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.39%E -0.714%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%9.1%2026-07-18 02:45
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.47%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.40%EV -3.80%E -0.803%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.47%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.40%EV -3.80%E -0.803%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 02:45
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.22%EV +0.675%E +0.136%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 02:55
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -13.39%E -8.53%K -23.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -4.41%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -13.94%E -8.93%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -4.41%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 02:45
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.77%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.94%EV -2.17%E -0.452%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -3.25%E -0.823%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 02:55
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -14.49%E -9.35%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -4.41%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -3.25%E -0.823%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:44
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:44
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 03:24
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -11.18%E -6.94%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 03:23
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -16.70%E -11.06%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 02:45
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.83%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 02:35
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:45
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.56%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.17%EV -3.19%E -0.670%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -6.77%E -4.00%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.39%E -0.714%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 02:35
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 02:50
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 02:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 02:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 03:24
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 02:45
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.61%EV -9.49%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 02:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 02:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.49%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 02:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.49%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 02:35
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -7.46%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 02:45
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.60%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 02:55
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 54.51%EV -6.77%E -4.00%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -7.46%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.60%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 02:55
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.83%EV -10.08%E -6.18%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -11.53%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.62%EV -11.09%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 02:48
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 02:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-15 03:33
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.17%EV -12.83%E -8.12%K -22.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.27%EV -12.55%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-18 02:54
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 02:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 02:45
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 02:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-07-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-07-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-07-18 02:55
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-07-18 02:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-07-18 02:50