La escuela de los momiosFC Juárez v Puebla
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Juárez (Local)
Predicción 55.17%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.94%55.32%55.10%58.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.651.671.7666.23%60.52%60.06%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Puebla (Visitante)
Predicción 20.34%4.92momio equitativo
EV +0.675%
Ventaja +0.136%
Kelly +0.171%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.14%20.22%20.36%21.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.594.604.9523.81%21.78%21.74%20.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.49%4.08momio equitativo
EV +2.87%
Ventaja +0.684%
Kelly +0.898%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.35%24.46%24.53%26.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.833.834.2029.41%26.08%26.14%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.97%EV -9.52%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -0.342%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV +2.87%E +0.684%K +0.898%G +0.026% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 02:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.97%EV -9.52%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -0.342%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV +2.87%E +0.684%K +0.898%G +0.026% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 02:30 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.39%E -8.53%K -23.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.39%E -0.714%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.47%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.40%EV -3.80%E -0.803%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.47%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.40%EV -3.80%E -0.803%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.22%EV +0.675%E +0.136%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -13.39%E -8.53%K -23.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -4.41%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -13.94%E -8.93%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -4.41%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.77%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.94%EV -2.17%E -0.452%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -3.25%E -0.823%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -14.49%E -9.35%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -4.41%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -3.25%E -0.823%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 02:44 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 02:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 03:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -11.18%E -6.94%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 03:23 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -16.70%E -11.06%K -32.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 19.83%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 02:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.56%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.17%EV -3.19%E -0.670%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -6.77%E -4.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.39%E -0.714%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 02:50 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 02:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-10 03:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.61%EV -9.49%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 02:50 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 02:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.49%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 02:35 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.49%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 02:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -7.46%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.60%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 02:55 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.51%EV -6.77%E -4.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -7.46%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.60%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.83%EV -10.08%E -6.18%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -11.53%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.62%EV -11.09%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-18 02:48 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-15 03:33 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.17%EV -12.83%E -8.12%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.27%EV -12.55%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-18 02:54 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 02:40 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 02:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 02:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.2% | 2026-07-18 02:50 |