La scuola delle quote

FC Juárez v Puebla

Inizio: 2026-07-18 03:00 UTC

Finale: FC Juárez 0–1 Puebla

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Juárez (Casa)

Previsione 55.17%1.81quota equa
EV -2.90%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -3.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.94%55.32%55.10%58.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.651.671.7666.23%60.52%60.06%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Puebla (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.34%4.92quota equa
EV +0.675%
Vantaggio +0.136%
Kelly +0.171%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.14%20.22%20.36%21.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.594.604.9523.81%21.78%21.74%20.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.49%4.08quota equa
EV +2.87%
Vantaggio +0.684%
Kelly +0.898%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.35%24.46%24.53%26.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.833.834.2029.41%26.08%26.14%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.97%EV -9.52%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -0.342%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV +2.87%E +0.684%K +0.898%G +0.026%5.2%2026-07-18 02:25
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.97%EV -9.52%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -0.342%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV +2.87%E +0.684%K +0.898%G +0.026%5.2%2026-07-18 02:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-18 02:45
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.39%E -8.53%K -23.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.39%E -0.714%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +0.424%E +0.103%K +0.137%G +0.001%9.1%2026-07-18 02:45
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.47%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.40%EV -3.80%E -0.803%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.47%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.40%EV -3.80%E -0.803%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 02:45
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.22%EV +0.675%E +0.136%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 02:55
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -13.39%E -8.53%K -23.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -4.41%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -13.94%E -8.93%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -4.41%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -2.03%E -0.506%K -0.675%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 02:45
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.77%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.94%EV -2.17%E -0.452%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -3.25%E -0.823%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 02:55
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -14.49%E -9.35%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -4.41%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -3.25%E -0.823%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:44
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:44
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 03:24
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -11.18%E -6.94%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -2.38%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 03:23
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -16.70%E -11.06%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 02:45
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.25%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.83%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 02:35
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:45
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.56%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.17%EV -3.19%E -0.670%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.27%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -6.77%E -4.00%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.39%E -0.714%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 02:35
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 02:50
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 02:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 02:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 03:24
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 02:45
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.61%EV -9.49%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 02:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 02:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.49%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 02:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -9.49%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 02:35
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -7.46%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 02:45
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.60%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 02:55
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 54.51%EV -6.77%E -4.00%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -7.46%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -10.60%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 02:55
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.83%EV -10.08%E -6.18%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -11.53%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.62%EV -11.09%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 02:48
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 02:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-15 03:33
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.17%EV -12.83%E -8.12%K -22.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.27%EV -12.55%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-18 02:54
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -6.21%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.51%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 02:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 02:45
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 02:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -16.72%E -4.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-07-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-07-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-07-18 02:55
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.77%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-07-18 02:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-07-18 02:50