La scuola delle quote

Cruz Azul v Tijuana

Inizio: 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC

Finale: Cruz Azul 1–1 Tijuana

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cruz Azul (Casa)

Previsione 73.51%1.36quota equa
EV -4.44%
Vantaggio -3.42%
Kelly -14.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.09%73.37%73.54%75.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.251.251.3086.21%79.72%80.00%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tijuana (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.47%9.56quota equa
EV +9.88%
Vantaggio +0.941%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.103%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.06%10.43%10.35%12.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.258.839.0010.5013.79%11.33%11.11%9.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.03%6.24quota equa
EV +1.77%
Vantaggio +0.280%
Kelly +0.332%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.21%16.20%16.11%19.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.545.506.3522.22%18.06%18.18%15.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.16%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +9.88%E +0.941%K +1.04%G +0.103%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.78%EV -14.25%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:34
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.07%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.25%EV +1.77%E +0.280%K +0.332%G +0.006%3.3%2026-04-18 22:55
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.07%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.25%EV +1.77%E +0.280%K +0.332%G +0.006%3.3%2026-04-18 22:55
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 17:29
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.56%E +0.261%K +0.291%G +0.007%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 22:35
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.56%E +0.261%K +0.291%G +0.007%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 22:35
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.88%EV +1.51%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -6.08%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 22:50
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.05%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:20
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.05%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:20
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -15.86%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 22:35
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.84%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 22:20
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 22:55
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 73.68%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.11%G +0.000%9.46I 10.57%NM 9.97%EV -1.00%E -0.106%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.35%EV -7.52%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:20
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.13%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.33%EV -3.09%E -0.334%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.55%EV -1.43%E -0.233%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:55
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -3.20%E -0.346%K -0.388%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.85%E -7.14%K -36.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 22:54
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.38%E -5.86%K -28.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 22:20
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.38%E -5.86%K -28.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:20
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.59%E -7.79%K -41.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -15.05%E -2.84%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.79%E -9.83%K -58.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -27.88%E -6.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-18 22:55
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 21:01
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.84%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 21:00
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 22:55
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 17:15
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.66%E -3.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 22:20
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.66%E -3.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 22:20
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -14.73%E -12.70%K -92.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 22:50
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -13.66%E -1.66%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 22:25
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -13.66%E -1.66%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 22:24
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:20
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:24
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:55
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -18.90%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.95%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.33%EV -18.90%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.72%EV -15.86%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 22:41
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.94%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.11%EV -24.13%E -3.33%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 22:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%2.2%2026-04-18 22:50
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%2.9%2026-04-18 22:31