مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruz Azul v Tijuana

البداية: 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cruz Azul 1–1 Tijuana

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruz Azul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.51%1.36السعر العادل
EV -4.44%
الأفضلية -3.42%
Kelly -14.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.09%73.37%73.54%75.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.161.251.251.3086.21%79.72%80.00%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tijuana (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.47%9.56السعر العادل
EV +9.88%
الأفضلية +0.941%
Kelly +1.04%
النمو +0.103%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.06%10.43%10.35%12.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.258.839.0010.5013.79%11.33%11.11%9.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.03%6.24السعر العادل
EV +1.77%
الأفضلية +0.280%
Kelly +0.332%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.21%16.20%16.11%19.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.545.506.3522.22%18.06%18.18%15.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.16%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +9.88%E +0.941%K +1.04%G +0.103%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.78%EV -14.25%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:34
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.07%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.25%EV +1.77%E +0.280%K +0.332%G +0.006%3.3%2026-04-18 22:55
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.07%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.25%EV +1.77%E +0.280%K +0.332%G +0.006%3.3%2026-04-18 22:55
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 17:29
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.56%E +0.261%K +0.291%G +0.007%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 22:35
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.56%E +0.261%K +0.291%G +0.007%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 22:35
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.88%EV +1.51%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -6.08%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 22:50
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.05%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:20
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.05%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:20
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -15.86%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 22:35
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.84%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 22:20
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 22:55
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 73.68%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.11%G +0.000%9.46I 10.57%NM 9.97%EV -1.00%E -0.106%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.35%EV -7.52%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:20
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.13%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.33%EV -3.09%E -0.334%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.55%EV -1.43%E -0.233%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:55
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -3.20%E -0.346%K -0.388%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.85%E -7.14%K -36.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 22:54
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.38%E -5.86%K -28.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 22:20
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.38%E -5.86%K -28.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:20
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.59%E -7.79%K -41.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -15.05%E -2.84%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.79%E -9.83%K -58.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -27.88%E -6.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-18 22:55
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 21:01
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.84%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 21:00
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 22:55
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 17:15
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.66%E -3.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 22:20
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.66%E -3.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 22:20
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -14.73%E -12.70%K -92.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 22:50
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -13.66%E -1.66%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 22:25
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -13.66%E -1.66%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 22:24
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:20
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:24
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:55
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -18.90%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.95%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.33%EV -18.90%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.72%EV -15.86%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 22:41
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.94%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.11%EV -24.13%E -3.33%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%2.2%2026-04-18 22:50
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%2.9%2026-04-18 22:31