La escuela de los momiosCruz Azul v Tijuana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 73.51%1.36momio equitativo
EV -4.44%
Ventaja -3.42%
Kelly -14.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.09%73.37%73.54%75.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.251.251.3086.21%79.72%80.00%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tijuana (Visitante)
Predicción 10.47%9.56momio equitativo
EV +9.88%
Ventaja +0.941%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.103%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.06%10.43%10.35%12.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.258.839.0010.5013.79%11.33%11.11%9.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.03%6.24momio equitativo
EV +1.77%
Ventaja +0.280%
Kelly +0.332%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.21%16.20%16.11%19.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.545.506.3522.22%18.06%18.18%15.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.16%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +9.88%E +0.941%K +1.04%G +0.103% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.78%EV -14.25%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.07%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.25%EV +1.77%E +0.280%K +0.332%G +0.006% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.07%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.25%EV +1.77%E +0.280%K +0.332%G +0.006% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 17:29 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.56%E +0.261%K +0.291%G +0.007% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.56%E +0.261%K +0.291%G +0.007% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.88%EV +1.51%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -6.08%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.05%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.05%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -15.86%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.84%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.68%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 9.46I 10.57%NM 9.97%EV -1.00%E -0.106%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.35%EV -7.52%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.13%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.33%EV -3.09%E -0.334%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.55%EV -1.43%E -0.233%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -3.20%E -0.346%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.85%E -7.14%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.38%E -5.86%K -28.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.38%E -5.86%K -28.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.59%E -7.79%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -15.05%E -2.84%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.79%E -9.83%K -58.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -27.88%E -6.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 21:01 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.84%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 21:00 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.66%E -3.20%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.66%E -3.20%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -14.73%E -12.70%K -92.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -13.66%E -1.66%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -13.66%E -1.66%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 22:24 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 22:24 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -18.90%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.95%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.33%EV -18.90%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.72%EV -15.86%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 22:41 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.94%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.11%EV -24.13%E -3.33%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 22:31 |