L’École des cotes

Cruz Azul v Tijuana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC

Score final : Cruz Azul 1–1 Tijuana

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruz Azul (Local)

Prévision 73.51%1.36cote équitable
EV -4.44%
Avantage -3.42%
Kelly -14.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.09%73.37%73.54%75.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.251.251.3086.21%79.72%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tijuana (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.47%9.56cote équitable
EV +9.88%
Avantage +0.941%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.103%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.06%10.43%10.35%12.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.258.839.0010.5013.79%11.33%11.11%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.03%6.24cote équitable
EV +1.77%
Avantage +0.280%
Kelly +0.332%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 6.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.21%16.20%16.11%19.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.545.506.3522.22%18.06%18.18%15.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.16%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +9.88%E +0.941%K +1.04%G +0.103%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.78%EV -14.25%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:34
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.07%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.25%EV +1.77%E +0.280%K +0.332%G +0.006%3.3%2026-04-18 22:55
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.07%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.25%EV +1.77%E +0.280%K +0.332%G +0.006%3.3%2026-04-18 22:55
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +4.65%E +0.465%K +0.517%G +0.024%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 17:29
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.56%E +0.261%K +0.291%G +0.007%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 22:35
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.56%E +0.261%K +0.291%G +0.007%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 22:35
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.88%EV +1.51%E +0.156%K +0.174%G +0.003%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -6.08%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 22:50
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.05%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:20
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.05%EV -4.44%E -3.42%K -14.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:20
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -15.86%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 22:35
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.84%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 22:20
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.581%E -0.061%K -0.068%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 22:55
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 73.68%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.11%G +0.000%9.46I 10.57%NM 9.97%EV -1.00%E -0.106%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.35%EV -7.52%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:20
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.13%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.33%EV -3.09%E -0.334%K -0.374%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.55%EV -1.43%E -0.233%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:55
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -3.20%E -0.346%K -0.388%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:25
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.85%E -7.14%K -36.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 22:54
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.38%E -5.86%K -28.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 22:20
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.38%E -5.86%K -28.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:20
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -9.59%E -7.79%K -41.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -15.05%E -2.84%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.79%E -9.83%K -58.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -5.81%E -0.646%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -27.88%E -6.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-18 22:55
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.18%E -4.01%K -17.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 21:01
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.84%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 21:00
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 22:55
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 17:15
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.66%E -3.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 22:20
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -16.66%E -3.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 22:20
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -14.73%E -12.70%K -92.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -11.05%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 22:50
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -13.66%E -1.66%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 22:25
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -6.65%E -5.23%K -24.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -13.66%E -1.66%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -10.25%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 22:24
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:20
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:24
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.86%E -3.97%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 19:45
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:55
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -11.06%E -9.14%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -16.28%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -13.45%E -2.49%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.46%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -18.90%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -3.83%E -0.639%K -0.767%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.95%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.33%EV -18.90%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.72%EV -15.86%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 22:41
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.94%EV -10.32%E -8.46%K -46.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.11%EV -24.13%E -3.33%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.85%E -2.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.82%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%2.2%2026-04-18 22:50
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%2.9%2026-04-18 22:31