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Cruz Azul v Puebla
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cruz Azul (Хозяева)
Прогноз 70.44%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.91%
Преимущество -3.63%
Kelly -14.02%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
68.57%70.40%70.59%72.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.241.321.321.3580.65%76.05%75.76%74.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Puebla (Гости)
Прогноз 11.87%8.42справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.01%
Преимущество +0.119%
Kelly +0.135%
Рост +0.001%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.51
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.00%11.93%11.84%12.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.907.787.968.5114.49%12.85%12.55%11.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 17.69%5.65справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.60%
Преимущество +0.449%
Kelly +0.542%
Рост +0.014%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.28%17.67%17.58%19.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.705.135.005.8021.28%19.48%20.00%17.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cruz Azul (Хозяева): 70.44%; Puebla (Гости): 11.87%; Ничья: 17.69%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.65. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.60%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.60%E +0.449%K +0.542%G +0.014% | 3.6% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.60%E +0.449%K +0.542%G +0.014% | 3.6% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +1.72%E +0.299%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.81%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.51I 11.75%NM 11.31%EV +1.01%E +0.119%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.88%EV +0.834%E +0.146%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -0.935%E -0.167%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.79%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.93I 12.61%NM 11.96%EV -5.87%E -0.741%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.57%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.18%EV -9.20%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -4.47%E -0.828%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.89%EV -7.42%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -5.36%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.49%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.18%EV -10.03%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-21 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.13%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -7.13%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -9.84%E -7.68%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -7.13%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.30%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.98%EV -15.72%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -7.42%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 04:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -9.78%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.27%EV -11.57%E -1.55%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.78%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 13:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-21 20:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.13%E -7.08%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.95%E -9.56%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.17%EV -12.65%E -10.21%K -52.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -6.23%E -0.788%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -12.43%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -6.23%E -0.788%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -12.43%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 00:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.57%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.94%EV -18.10%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.13%E -7.08%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.63%EV -11.25%E -8.93%K -43.25%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -16.86%E -3.59%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |