La escuela de los momiosCruz Azul v Puebla
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 70.44%1.42momio equitativo
EV -4.91%
Ventaja -3.63%
Kelly -14.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.57%70.40%70.59%72.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.321.321.3580.65%76.05%75.76%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Puebla (Visitante)
Predicción 11.87%8.42momio equitativo
EV +1.01%
Ventaja +0.119%
Kelly +0.135%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.00%11.93%11.84%12.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.907.787.968.5114.49%12.85%12.55%11.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.69%5.65momio equitativo
EV +2.60%
Ventaja +0.449%
Kelly +0.542%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.28%17.67%17.58%19.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.135.005.8021.28%19.48%20.00%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.60%E +0.449%K +0.542%G +0.014% | 3.6% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.60%E +0.449%K +0.542%G +0.014% | 3.6% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +1.72%E +0.299%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.81%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.51I 11.75%NM 11.31%EV +1.01%E +0.119%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.88%EV +0.834%E +0.146%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -0.935%E -0.167%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.79%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.93I 12.61%NM 11.96%EV -5.87%E -0.741%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.57%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.18%EV -9.20%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -4.47%E -0.828%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.89%EV -7.42%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -5.36%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| GTbets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.49%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.18%EV -10.03%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-21 22:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.13%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -7.13%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -9.84%E -7.68%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -7.13%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.30%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.98%EV -15.72%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -7.42%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 04:35 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -9.78%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.27%EV -11.57%E -1.55%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.78%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 13:04 |
| betano_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Casumo | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-21 20:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.13%E -7.08%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.95%E -9.56%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.17%EV -12.65%E -10.21%K -52.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -6.23%E -0.788%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -12.43%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -6.23%E -0.788%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -12.43%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 00:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.57%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.94%EV -18.10%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.13%E -7.08%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.63%EV -11.25%E -8.93%K -43.25%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -16.86%E -3.59%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |