La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Cruz Azul v Puebla
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Cruz Azul (Casa)
Previsione 70.44%1.42quota equa
EV -4.91%
Vantaggio -3.63%
Kelly -14.02%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.57%70.40%70.59%72.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.321.321.3580.65%76.05%75.76%74.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Puebla (Trasferta)
Previsione 11.87%8.42quota equa
EV +1.01%
Vantaggio +0.119%
Kelly +0.135%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.00%11.93%11.84%12.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.907.787.968.5114.49%12.85%12.55%11.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 17.69%5.65quota equa
EV +2.60%
Vantaggio +0.449%
Kelly +0.542%
Crescita +0.014%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.28%17.67%17.58%19.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.135.005.8021.28%19.48%20.00%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.60%E +0.449%K +0.542%G +0.014% | 3.6% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.60%E +0.449%K +0.542%G +0.014% | 3.6% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +1.72%E +0.299%K +0.362%G +0.006% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.81%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.51I 11.75%NM 11.31%EV +1.01%E +0.119%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.88%EV +0.834%E +0.146%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -0.935%E -0.167%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.79%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.93I 12.61%NM 11.96%EV -5.87%E -0.741%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.61%E -4.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -2.70%E -0.492%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.57%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.18%EV -9.20%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -4.47%E -0.828%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.89%EV -7.42%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -5.36%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| GTbets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.49%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.18%EV -10.03%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.33%EV -5.71%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-21 22:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.13%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -7.13%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -9.84%E -7.68%K -35.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -7.13%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.30%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.98%EV -15.72%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -7.42%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -8.01%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 04:35 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -9.78%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -7.72%E -5.90%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.27%EV -11.57%E -1.55%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -9.78%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 13:04 |
| betano_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.893%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Casumo | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.31%E -4.75%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-21 20:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.13%E -7.08%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.95%E -9.56%K -47.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.17%EV -12.65%E -10.21%K -52.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -6.23%E -0.788%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -12.43%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -6.23%E -0.788%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -12.43%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 00:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -13.32%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.57%EV -4.91%E -3.63%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.94%EV -18.10%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.13%E -7.08%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -5.04%E -0.630%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.91%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.09%E -3.14%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.63%EV -11.25%E -8.93%K -43.25%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -10.98%E -1.46%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -16.86%E -3.59%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 00:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 00:20 |