Language:English
Cruz Azul v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 40.84%2.45fair odd
EV +4.15%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +2.68%
Growth +0.111%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%40.61%40.87%42.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.5547.62%43.63%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 32.40%3.09fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.448%
Kelly +0.659%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.65%32.61%32.38%35.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.812.803.1338.17%35.61%35.71%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV -0.985%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.365%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.51%26.78%26.75%27.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.7031.75%29.27%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 40.84%; Guadalajara (Visit): 32.40%; Draw: 26.76%. For Cruz Azul (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +4.15%E +1.63%K +2.68%G +0.111% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -6.87%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 01:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.80%EV -3.20%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.00%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.25%E -0.339%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.46%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.06%E -0.562%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.46%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.06%E -0.562%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.67%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -5.25%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -15.12%E -5.77%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -15.12%E -5.77%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.26%EV -7.29%E -3.21%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.65%EV +1.40%E +0.448%K +0.659%G +0.009% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.10%EV -5.27%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.66%EV -7.29%E -3.21%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.02%EV -7.70%E -3.41%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.79%EV -7.41%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.11%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.985%E -0.266%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 02:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.11%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -2.81%E -0.936%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 02:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -9.33%E -4.20%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.40%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -9.33%E -4.20%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.40%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.70%EV -9.74%E -4.41%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -2.81%E -0.936%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 02:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-22 02:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.02%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.22%EV -13.01%E -6.11%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -12.49%E -3.82%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.76%EV -14.23%E -6.78%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.06%EV -13.50%E -5.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.18%EV -15.70%E -4.99%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |