L’École des cotes

Cruz Azul v Guadalajara

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruz Azul (Local)

Prévision 40.84%2.45cote équitable
EV +4.15%
Avantage +1.63%
Kelly +2.68%
Croissance +0.111%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.35%40.61%40.87%42.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.302.5547.62%43.63%43.48%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Guadalajara (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.40%3.09cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.448%
Kelly +0.659%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.65%32.61%32.38%35.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.812.803.1338.17%35.61%35.71%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.76%3.74cote équitable
EV -0.985%
Avantage -0.266%
Kelly -0.365%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.51%26.78%26.75%27.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.423.403.7031.75%29.27%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +4.15%E +1.63%K +2.68%G +0.111%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -6.87%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 01:29
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-20 05:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 22:45
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.80%EV -3.20%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.00%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.25%E -0.339%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 02:45
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.46%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.06%E -0.562%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 02:50
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.46%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.06%E -0.562%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 05:35
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.67%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 02:55
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -5.25%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:35
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 02:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 02:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 02:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -15.12%E -5.77%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -15.12%E -5.77%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 02:50
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.26%EV -7.29%E -3.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.65%EV +1.40%E +0.448%K +0.659%G +0.009%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.10%EV -5.27%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 02:55
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 40.66%EV -7.29%E -3.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 02:40
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.02%EV -7.70%E -3.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.79%EV -7.41%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 02:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.11%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.985%E -0.266%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 02:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.11%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -2.81%E -0.936%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 02:54
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -9.33%E -4.20%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.40%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 02:50
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -9.33%E -4.20%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.40%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 02:50
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 41.70%EV -9.74%E -4.41%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 02:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 02:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -2.81%E -0.936%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 02:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 02:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:55
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 02:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 02:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 02:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 02:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 02:54
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 02:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-22 02:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.02%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 02:55
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.22%EV -13.01%E -6.11%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -12.49%E -3.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 02:55
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.76%EV -14.23%E -6.78%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.06%EV -13.50%E -5.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.18%EV -15.70%E -4.99%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-22 02:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-02-22 02:55