مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruz Azul v Guadalajara

البداية: 2026-02-22 03:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruz Azul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.84%2.45السعر العادل
EV +4.15%
الأفضلية +1.63%
Kelly +2.68%
النمو +0.111%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.35%40.61%40.87%42.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.292.302.5547.62%43.63%43.48%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Guadalajara (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.40%3.09السعر العادل
EV +1.40%
الأفضلية +0.448%
Kelly +0.659%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.65%32.61%32.38%35.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.622.812.803.1338.17%35.61%35.71%31.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.76%3.74السعر العادل
EV -0.985%
الأفضلية -0.266%
Kelly -0.365%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.51%26.78%26.75%27.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.423.403.7031.75%29.27%29.41%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +4.15%E +1.63%K +2.68%G +0.111%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -6.87%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 01:29
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-20 05:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 22:45
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.80%EV -3.20%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.00%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.25%E -0.339%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 02:45
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.46%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.06%E -0.562%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 02:50
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.46%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.06%E -0.562%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 05:35
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.67%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 02:55
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -5.25%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:35
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 02:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 02:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 02:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -15.12%E -5.77%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -15.12%E -5.77%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 02:50
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.26%EV -7.29%E -3.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.65%EV +1.40%E +0.448%K +0.659%G +0.009%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.10%EV -5.27%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 02:55
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 40.66%EV -7.29%E -3.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 02:40
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.02%EV -7.70%E -3.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.79%EV -7.41%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 02:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.11%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.985%E -0.266%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 02:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.11%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -2.81%E -0.936%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 02:54
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -9.33%E -4.20%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.40%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 02:50
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -9.33%E -4.20%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.40%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 02:50
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 41.70%EV -9.74%E -4.41%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 02:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 02:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -2.81%E -0.936%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 02:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 02:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:55
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 02:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 02:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 02:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-22 02:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 02:54
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 02:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-22 02:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.02%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 02:55
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.22%EV -13.01%E -6.11%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -12.49%E -3.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 02:55
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.76%EV -14.23%E -6.78%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.06%EV -13.50%E -5.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.18%EV -15.70%E -4.99%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-22 02:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-02-22 02:55