La escuela de los momiosCruz Azul v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 40.84%2.45momio equitativo
EV +4.15%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +2.68%
Crecimiento +0.111%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.35%40.61%40.87%42.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.292.302.5547.62%43.63%43.48%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 32.40%3.09momio equitativo
EV +1.40%
Ventaja +0.448%
Kelly +0.659%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.65%32.61%32.38%35.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.812.803.1338.17%35.61%35.71%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.76%3.74momio equitativo
EV -0.985%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.365%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.51%26.78%26.75%27.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.423.403.7031.75%29.27%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +4.15%E +1.63%K +2.68%G +0.111% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.37%EV -6.87%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 01:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV +0.063%E +0.026%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -1.98%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.80%EV -3.20%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.00%EV -5.08%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.25%E -0.339%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.46%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.06%E -0.562%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.14%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -3.46%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.06%E -0.562%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.67%EV -6.37%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -5.25%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -4.43%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -15.12%E -5.77%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -15.12%E -5.77%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.26%EV -7.29%E -3.21%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.65%EV +1.40%E +0.448%K +0.659%G +0.009% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.10%EV -5.27%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Bovada | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.66%EV -7.29%E -3.21%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.02%EV -7.70%E -3.41%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -6.70%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.79%EV -7.41%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.11%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.05%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.985%E -0.266%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 02:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.11%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -2.81%E -0.936%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 02:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -9.33%E -4.20%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.40%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -9.33%E -4.20%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -5.40%E -1.85%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| BetUS | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.70%EV -9.74%E -4.41%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.67%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -7.02%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -2.81%E -0.936%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.68%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.15%E -4.61%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.29%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 02:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-22 02:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.02%EV -12.19%E -5.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.53%E -4.64%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.22%EV -13.01%E -6.11%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -10.91%E -3.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -12.49%E -3.82%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.76%EV -14.23%E -6.78%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.06%EV -13.50%E -5.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.18%EV -15.70%E -4.99%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |